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A new element of uncertainty has been brought into the discussion of global...
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate pegged at 0% to 0.25%, which is where they have been since December 2008.At first glance, it looked as if nothing really changed.But...
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Negative, Low-Probability Outcomes Are Consistently Exaggerated
The following is an excerpt from LPL Financial Research's Outlook 2014 note.When we take a look at weather forecasts, such as those in farmers' almanacs, we do not often consider any bias by the source...
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We Approach 2014 With A Magical Combination Of Positive Policy, Financial And...
The evolving policy landscape in the United States is reducing the uncertainty premium. That is bullish for US financial markets and its economy and outlook.A troika of Fed (Federal Reserve) officials,...
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A new element of uncertainty has been brought into the discussion of global...
On Thursday, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate pegged at 0% to 0.25%, which is where they have been since December 2008.At first glance, it looked as if nothing really changed.But...
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Here's how to measure all of the uncertainty in the world today
Markets hate uncertainty. The only thing worse than falling markets, is markets full of question marks.Of course, the future is – by definition – uncertain. That’s one of the few constants in the...
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Trump is going to be held hostage by what happens to the rest of the world
I wholeheartedly believe Donald Trump and the Republican majority will enact a sweeping package of tax cuts, at least a modest infrastructure spending program, and hopefully some radical deregulation....
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The head of an investment bank explains how Trump, Brexit, and the rest have...
The world has changed pretty dramatically in the past 12 months.We've moved from an era of globalization to one of nationalism and populism. There has been a shift from fears of stagflation to one...
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France's bond market is too afraid of Le Pen win in the French elections
French government bonds sold off to yield about 85 bps more than equivalent 10 year German government bonds as political uncertainties hit a peak last week. Given that the Presidential election is not...
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3 things investors should watch as the UK prepares to leave the EU
The results of the Brexit vote last year took many investors by surprise. As Britain’s decision to leave the EU becomes reality, we look at some key areas of impact.1. Trashed sterling (not all bad...
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An investment principle Warren Buffett uses can improve almost any area of...
In late August of 2005, one of the most dangerous tropical storms in history began brewing.The waters of the Gulf of Mexico were unusually warm that month, and the high temperatures transformed the...
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The key to starting a business is accepting one fact about achievement
Here's something that's really important to know about becoming an entrepreneur.If you're used to achieving things, be prepared for the road to have no markers anymore.You will feel lost for long...
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Markets don't seem to be too worried about the dysfunction going on in...
At this stage of the bull market, investors are contending with more than a few enigmas: Do valuations even matter? Will interest rates ever rise? And how do you explain the divergence between U.S....
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Obama's former chief economic adviser tells us what is really going on in the...
The US economy has maintained a similar growth rate under President Donald Trump as it did under President Barack Obama, showing the presidency's limited short-run impact.In an interview with Business...
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Populism is spreading in Europe — here's what that means for markets
Italian markets have been in turmoil recently amid political chaos.That has renewed fears of European fragmentation. Even as Italian politics settle, uncertainty in the region is likely to remain....
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2 factors are leading the rise in global uncertainty
Global uncertainty looks poised to increase in the last quarter.There is a rise in the populist tide sweeping Europe and Latin America.Escalating trade tariffs also weigh on the potential growth...
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Curb anxiety by focusing on these 3 things that you can still control, even...
Amid rapidly advancing technology, the business world is in a state of constant change and uncertainty, which can cause stress for some people.But instead of giving into worry, it's important and more...
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Confident people avoid thinking in black and white. Here's how they use...
Summary List PlacementBusiness owners are being asked to create a vision and a strategy for an uncertain future. Many entrepreneurs are struggling to predict what the next six weeks might have in store...
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Follow these 3 steps to reduce stress and manage your business during...
Summary List PlacementAchieving peak performance is something every founder dreams about. But the reality is, such moments are the result of ongoing, long-term investment in fundamentals. As Brad...
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The chief investment strategist at a $9.6 billion volatility-focused money...
Summary List PlacementIt has been a tale of two cities for the US stock market and the CBOE Volatility Index. Despite the market's continued rally towards record highs, the VIX, which is popularly...
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6 ways to reduce employee anxiety and stay focused during uncertain times
Summary List PlacementOver my years as an advisor to new businesses and startups, I have learned that the only certainty that I can offer entrepreneurs is the fact they will face many uncertainties.So...
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